Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That Chongqing Sanfeng Environment Group (SHSE:601827) Is Using Debt Extensively

SHSE:601827
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Chongqing Sanfeng Environment Group Corp., Ltd. (SHSE:601827) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Chongqing Sanfeng Environment Group

How Much Debt Does Chongqing Sanfeng Environment Group Carry?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Chongqing Sanfeng Environment Group had CN¥8.65b in debt in September 2023; about the same as the year before. However, it also had CN¥1.67b in cash, and so its net debt is CN¥6.98b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:601827 Debt to Equity History March 11th 2024

How Healthy Is Chongqing Sanfeng Environment Group's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Chongqing Sanfeng Environment Group had liabilities of CN¥4.79b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥8.86b falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥1.67b in cash and CN¥2.45b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥9.54b.

This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of CN¥12.7b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Chongqing Sanfeng Environment Group's use of debt. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Chongqing Sanfeng Environment Group has a debt to EBITDA ratio of 2.8, which signals significant debt, but is still pretty reasonable for most types of business. However, its interest coverage of 11.4 is very high, suggesting that the interest expense on the debt is currently quite low. We note that Chongqing Sanfeng Environment Group grew its EBIT by 27% in the last year, and that should make it easier to pay down debt, going forward. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Chongqing Sanfeng Environment Group can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the last three years, Chongqing Sanfeng Environment Group recorded negative free cash flow, in total. Debt is far more risky for companies with unreliable free cash flow, so shareholders should be hoping that the past expenditure will produce free cash flow in the future.

Our View

While Chongqing Sanfeng Environment Group's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow has us nervous. For example, its interest cover and EBIT growth rate give us some confidence in its ability to manage its debt. We think that Chongqing Sanfeng Environment Group's debt does make it a bit risky, after considering the aforementioned data points together. Not all risk is bad, as it can boost share price returns if it pays off, but this debt risk is worth keeping in mind. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Chongqing Sanfeng Environment Group that you should be aware of.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Chongqing Sanfeng Environment Group is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.