Stock Analysis

After Leaping 32% Guangzhou Hangxin Aviation Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300424) Shares Are Not Flying Under The Radar

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SZSE:300424

Guangzhou Hangxin Aviation Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300424) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 32% share price jump in the last month. Looking further back, the 16% rise over the last twelve months isn't too bad notwithstanding the strength over the last 30 days.

Although its price has surged higher, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Guangzhou Hangxin Aviation Technology's P/S ratio of 2.4x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Infrastructure industry in China is also close to 2.8x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

View our latest analysis for Guangzhou Hangxin Aviation Technology

SZSE:300424 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry August 3rd 2024

How Guangzhou Hangxin Aviation Technology Has Been Performing

For example, consider that Guangzhou Hangxin Aviation Technology's financial performance has been pretty ordinary lately as revenue growth is non-existent. It might be that many expect the uninspiring revenue performance to only match most other companies at best over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from rising. Those who are bullish on Guangzhou Hangxin Aviation Technology will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Guangzhou Hangxin Aviation Technology's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Guangzhou Hangxin Aviation Technology's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.

If we review the last year of revenue, the company posted a result that saw barely any deviation from a year ago. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 34% overall rise in revenue, in spite of its uninspiring short-term performance. So while the company has done a solid job in the past, it's somewhat concerning to see revenue growth decline as much as it has.

It's interesting to note that the rest of the industry is similarly expected to grow by 9.2% over the next year, which is fairly even with the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this in consideration, it's clear to see why Guangzhou Hangxin Aviation Technology's P/S matches up closely to its industry peers. It seems most investors are expecting to see average growth rates continue into the future and are only willing to pay a moderate amount for the stock.

The Bottom Line On Guangzhou Hangxin Aviation Technology's P/S

Guangzhou Hangxin Aviation Technology's stock has a lot of momentum behind it lately, which has brought its P/S level with the rest of the industry. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

It appears to us that Guangzhou Hangxin Aviation Technology maintains its moderate P/S off the back of its recent three-year growth being in line with the wider industry forecast. Currently, with a past revenue trend that aligns closely wit the industry outlook, shareholders are confident the company's future revenue outlook won't contain any major surprises. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it's hard to see the share price moving strongly in either direction in the near future under these circumstances.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Guangzhou Hangxin Aviation Technology, and understanding these should be part of your investment process.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Guangzhou Hangxin Aviation Technology, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.