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Subdued Growth No Barrier To Sichuan Fulin Transportation Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002357) With Shares Advancing 29%
The Sichuan Fulin Transportation Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002357) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 29%. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 66% in the last year.
Although its price has surged higher, there still wouldn't be many who think Sichuan Fulin Transportation Group's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 36.2x is worth a mention when the median P/E in China is similar at about 39x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/E without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
As an illustration, earnings have deteriorated at Sichuan Fulin Transportation Group over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the company to put the disappointing earnings performance behind them over the coming period, which has kept the P/E from falling. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
Check out our latest analysis for Sichuan Fulin Transportation Group
How Is Sichuan Fulin Transportation Group's Growth Trending?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Sichuan Fulin Transportation Group would need to produce growth that's similar to the market.
Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 45%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk EPS by 18% in aggregate. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Comparing that to the market, which is predicted to deliver 36% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term earnings results is a sobering picture.
With this information, we find it concerning that Sichuan Fulin Transportation Group is trading at a fairly similar P/E to the market. Apparently many investors in the company are way less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh on the share price eventually.
The Key Takeaway
Its shares have lifted substantially and now Sichuan Fulin Transportation Group's P/E is also back up to the market median. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We've established that Sichuan Fulin Transportation Group currently trades on a higher than expected P/E since its recent earnings have been in decline over the medium-term. When we see earnings heading backwards and underperforming the market forecasts, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the moderate P/E lower. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, it's challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
Plus, you should also learn about these 3 warning signs we've spotted with Sichuan Fulin Transportation Group.
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SZSE:002357
Sichuan Fulin Transportation Group
Sichuan Fulin Transportation Group Co., Ltd.
Adequate balance sheet and fair value.