Stock Analysis

There's Reason For Concern Over San Yang Ma (Chongqing) Logistics Co.,Ltd.'s (SZSE:001317) Massive 31% Price Jump

SZSE:001317
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Those holding San Yang Ma (Chongqing) Logistics Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:001317) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 31% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 29% over that time.

Following the firm bounce in price, when almost half of the companies in China's Logistics industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.3x, you may consider San Yang Ma (Chongqing) LogisticsLtd as a stock probably not worth researching with its 2.4x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.

See our latest analysis for San Yang Ma (Chongqing) LogisticsLtd

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:001317 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 8th 2024

What Does San Yang Ma (Chongqing) LogisticsLtd's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Revenue has risen firmly for San Yang Ma (Chongqing) LogisticsLtd recently, which is pleasing to see. It might be that many expect the respectable revenue performance to beat most other companies over the coming period, which has increased investors’ willingness to pay up for the stock. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for San Yang Ma (Chongqing) LogisticsLtd, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?

San Yang Ma (Chongqing) LogisticsLtd's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver solid growth, and importantly, perform better than the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 11% gain to the company's revenues. The solid recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 14% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been respectable for the company.

Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 16% shows it's noticeably less attractive.

With this information, we find it concerning that San Yang Ma (Chongqing) LogisticsLtd is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.

What Does San Yang Ma (Chongqing) LogisticsLtd's P/S Mean For Investors?

San Yang Ma (Chongqing) LogisticsLtd shares have taken a big step in a northerly direction, but its P/S is elevated as a result. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

The fact that San Yang Ma (Chongqing) LogisticsLtd currently trades on a higher P/S relative to the industry is an oddity, since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance isn't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless there is a significant improvement in the company's medium-term performance, it will be difficult to prevent the P/S ratio from declining to a more reasonable level.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with San Yang Ma (Chongqing) LogisticsLtd (at least 1 which can't be ignored), and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on San Yang Ma (Chongqing) LogisticsLtd, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether San Yang Ma (Chongqing) LogisticsLtd is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.