Stock Analysis

Xiamen Port Development (SZSE:000905) Will Pay A Larger Dividend Than Last Year At CN¥0.10

SZSE:000905
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Xiamen Port Development Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:000905) dividend will be increasing from last year's payment of the same period to CN¥0.10 on 17th of June. Although the dividend is now higher, the yield is only 1.6%, which is below the industry average.

View our latest analysis for Xiamen Port Development

Xiamen Port Development's Earnings Easily Cover The Distributions

Even a low dividend yield can be attractive if it is sustained for years on end. Xiamen Port Development is quite easily earning enough to cover the dividend, however it is being let down by weak cash flows. In general, we consider cash flow to be more important than earnings, so we would be cautious about relying on the sustainability of this dividend.

Over the next year, EPS could expand by 45.8% if recent trends continue. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we think the payout ratio could be 22% by next year, which is in a pretty sustainable range.

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SZSE:000905 Historic Dividend June 9th 2024

Dividend Volatility

Although the company has a long dividend history, it has been cut at least once in the last 10 years. Since 2014, the annual payment back then was CN¥0.07, compared to the most recent full-year payment of CN¥0.10. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 3.6% a year over that time. We're glad to see the dividend has risen, but with a limited rate of growth and fluctuations in the payments the total shareholder return may be limited.

The Dividend Looks Likely To Grow

Given that the dividend has been cut in the past, we need to check if earnings are growing and if that might lead to stronger dividends in the future. We are encouraged to see that Xiamen Port Development has grown earnings per share at 46% per year over the past five years. Rapid earnings growth and a low payout ratio suggest this company has been effectively reinvesting in its business. Should that continue, this company could have a bright future.

In Summary

In summary, while it's always good to see the dividend being raised, we don't think Xiamen Port Development's payments are rock solid. While the low payout ratio is a redeeming feature, this is offset by the minimal cash to cover the payments. We don't think Xiamen Port Development is a great stock to add to your portfolio if income is your focus.

It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Xiamen Port Development (of which 1 doesn't sit too well with us!) you should know about. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.