Returns On Capital Signal Tricky Times Ahead For DEPPON LOGISTICS (SHSE:603056)
Did you know there are some financial metrics that can provide clues of a potential multi-bagger? Typically, we'll want to notice a trend of growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and alongside that, an expanding base of capital employed. Put simply, these types of businesses are compounding machines, meaning they are continually reinvesting their earnings at ever-higher rates of return. However, after briefly looking over the numbers, we don't think DEPPON LOGISTICS (SHSE:603056) has the makings of a multi-bagger going forward, but let's have a look at why that may be.
Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. To calculate this metric for DEPPON LOGISTICS, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.078 = CN¥739m ÷ (CN¥17b - CN¥7.9b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).
Therefore, DEPPON LOGISTICS has an ROCE of 7.8%. In absolute terms, that's a low return but it's around the Logistics industry average of 7.1%.
View our latest analysis for DEPPON LOGISTICS
In the above chart we have measured DEPPON LOGISTICS' prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering DEPPON LOGISTICS for free.
What The Trend Of ROCE Can Tell Us
When we looked at the ROCE trend at DEPPON LOGISTICS, we didn't gain much confidence. To be more specific, ROCE has fallen from 12% over the last five years. Although, given both revenue and the amount of assets employed in the business have increased, it could suggest the company is investing in growth, and the extra capital has led to a short-term reduction in ROCE. If these investments prove successful, this can bode very well for long term stock performance.
On a separate but related note, it's important to know that DEPPON LOGISTICS has a current liabilities to total assets ratio of 45%, which we'd consider pretty high. This effectively means that suppliers (or short-term creditors) are funding a large portion of the business, so just be aware that this can introduce some elements of risk. While it's not necessarily a bad thing, it can be beneficial if this ratio is lower.
The Key Takeaway
In summary, despite lower returns in the short term, we're encouraged to see that DEPPON LOGISTICS is reinvesting for growth and has higher sales as a result. These trends are starting to be recognized by investors since the stock has delivered a 6.3% gain to shareholders who've held over the last five years. Therefore we'd recommend looking further into this stock to confirm if it has the makings of a good investment.
On a final note, we've found 1 warning sign for DEPPON LOGISTICS that we think you should be aware of.
For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SHSE:603056
DEPPON LOGISTICS
Operates as a customer-centered logistics company in Mainland China, Japan, South Korea, Europe, America, Southeast Asia, Hong Kong, Macao, and Taiwan, and internationally.
Very undervalued with flawless balance sheet.