David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Daqin Railway Co., Ltd. (SHSE:601006) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for Daqin Railway
How Much Debt Does Daqin Railway Carry?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Daqin Railway had debt of CN¥22.5b at the end of September 2024, a reduction from CN¥39.6b over a year. But it also has CN¥63.2b in cash to offset that, meaning it has CN¥40.7b net cash.
How Strong Is Daqin Railway's Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Daqin Railway had liabilities of CN¥14.8b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥24.3b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥63.2b and CN¥15.7b worth of receivables due within a year. So it can boast CN¥39.7b more liquid assets than total liabilities.
This surplus liquidity suggests that Daqin Railway's balance sheet could take a hit just as well as Homer Simpson's head can take a punch. With this in mind one could posit that its balance sheet means the company is able to handle some adversity. Simply put, the fact that Daqin Railway has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.
On the other hand, Daqin Railway's EBIT dived 19%, over the last year. If that rate of decline in earnings continues, the company could find itself in a tight spot. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Daqin Railway's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. While Daqin Railway has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the most recent three years, Daqin Railway recorded free cash flow worth 56% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.
Summing Up
While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Daqin Railway has CN¥40.7b in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. So we are not troubled with Daqin Railway's debt use. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 2 warning signs with Daqin Railway (at least 1 which is concerning) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SHSE:601006
Daqin Railway
Provides railway transportation services in the People’s Republic of China and internationally.
Excellent balance sheet and good value.
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