Stock Analysis

Shanghai Shentong MetroLtd's (SHSE:600834) Soft Earnings Are Actually Better Than They Appear

SHSE:600834
Source: Shutterstock

Soft earnings didn't appear to concern Shanghai Shentong Metro Co.,Ltd.'s (SHSE:600834) shareholders over the last week. Our analysis suggests that while the profits are soft, the foundations of the business are strong.

Check out our latest analysis for Shanghai Shentong MetroLtd

earnings-and-revenue-history
SHSE:600834 Earnings and Revenue History September 5th 2024

A Closer Look At Shanghai Shentong MetroLtd's Earnings

In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

For the year to June 2024, Shanghai Shentong MetroLtd had an accrual ratio of -0.15. Therefore, its statutory earnings were very significantly less than its free cashflow. Indeed, in the last twelve months it reported free cash flow of CN¥373m, well over the CN¥62.2m it reported in profit. Given that Shanghai Shentong MetroLtd had negative free cash flow in the prior corresponding period, the trailing twelve month resul of CN¥373m would seem to be a step in the right direction.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Shanghai Shentong MetroLtd.

Our Take On Shanghai Shentong MetroLtd's Profit Performance

Shanghai Shentong MetroLtd's accrual ratio is solid, and indicates strong free cash flow, as we discussed, above. Because of this, we think Shanghai Shentong MetroLtd's earnings potential is at least as good as it seems, and maybe even better! On the other hand, its EPS actually shrunk in the last twelve months. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. If you'd like to know more about Shanghai Shentong MetroLtd as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. While conducting our analysis, we found that Shanghai Shentong MetroLtd has 2 warning signs and it would be unwise to ignore them.

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Shanghai Shentong MetroLtd's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.

New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One Place

We've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.

• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency
• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile
• Track the Fair Value of your stocks

Try a Demo Portfolio for Free

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.