Stock Analysis

Shanghai Shentong MetroLtd (SHSE:600834) Is Increasing Its Dividend To CN¥0.052

SHSE:600834
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The board of Shanghai Shentong Metro Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:600834) has announced that the dividend on 19th of July will be increased to CN¥0.052, which will be 13% higher than last year's payment of CN¥0.046 which covered the same period. Although the dividend is now higher, the yield is only 0.8%, which is below the industry average.

See our latest analysis for Shanghai Shentong MetroLtd

Shanghai Shentong MetroLtd's Payment Has Solid Earnings Coverage

If it is predictable over a long period, even low dividend yields can be attractive. Shanghai Shentong MetroLtd is quite easily earning enough to cover the dividend, however it is being let down by weak cash flows. In general, we consider cash flow to be more important than earnings, so we would be cautious about relying on the sustainability of this dividend.

If the trend of the last few years continues, EPS will grow by 4.3% over the next 12 months. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio will be 35%, which is in the range that makes us comfortable with the sustainability of the dividend.

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SHSE:600834 Historic Dividend July 15th 2024

Dividend Volatility

While the company has been paying a dividend for a long time, it has cut the dividend at least once in the last 10 years. Since 2014, the dividend has gone from CN¥0.08 total annually to CN¥0.052. Doing the maths, this is a decline of about 4.2% per year. Declining dividends isn't generally what we look for as they can indicate that the company is running into some challenges.

The Dividend's Growth Prospects Are Limited

Given that the dividend has been cut in the past, we need to check if earnings are growing and if that might lead to stronger dividends in the future. Earnings per share has been crawling upwards at 4.3% per year. If Shanghai Shentong MetroLtd is struggling to find viable investments, it always has the option to increase its payout ratio to pay more to shareholders.

In Summary

Overall, we always like to see the dividend being raised, but we don't think Shanghai Shentong MetroLtd will make a great income stock. While the low payout ratio is a redeeming feature, this is offset by the minimal cash to cover the payments. This company is not in the top tier of income providing stocks.

Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. For instance, we've picked out 1 warning sign for Shanghai Shentong MetroLtd that investors should take into consideration. Is Shanghai Shentong MetroLtd not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.