Stock Analysis

Is Now The Time To Put Goldcard Smart Group (SZSE:300349) On Your Watchlist?

SZSE:300349
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The excitement of investing in a company that can reverse its fortunes is a big draw for some speculators, so even companies that have no revenue, no profit, and a record of falling short, can manage to find investors. Unfortunately, these high risk investments often have little probability of ever paying off, and many investors pay a price to learn their lesson. Loss-making companies are always racing against time to reach financial sustainability, so investors in these companies may be taking on more risk than they should.

If this kind of company isn't your style, you like companies that generate revenue, and even earn profits, then you may well be interested in Goldcard Smart Group (SZSE:300349). Even if this company is fairly valued by the market, investors would agree that generating consistent profits will continue to provide Goldcard Smart Group with the means to add long-term value to shareholders.

View our latest analysis for Goldcard Smart Group

Goldcard Smart Group's Improving Profits

Goldcard Smart Group has undergone a massive growth in earnings per share over the last three years. So much so that this three year growth rate wouldn't be a fair assessment of the company's future. Thus, it makes sense to focus on more recent growth rates, instead. Over the last year, Goldcard Smart Group increased its EPS from CN¥0.93 to CN¥0.98. That amounts to a small improvement of 5.7%.

Careful consideration of revenue growth and earnings before interest and taxation (EBIT) margins can help inform a view on the sustainability of the recent profit growth. It's noted that Goldcard Smart Group's revenue from operations was lower than its revenue in the last twelve months, so that could distort our analysis of its margins. It seems Goldcard Smart Group is pretty stable, since revenue and EBIT margins are pretty flat year on year. That's not bad, but it doesn't point to ongoing future growth, either.

In the chart below, you can see how the company has grown earnings and revenue, over time. Click on the chart to see the exact numbers.

earnings-and-revenue-history
SZSE:300349 Earnings and Revenue History January 1st 2025

While it's always good to see growing profits, you should always remember that a weak balance sheet could come back to bite. So check Goldcard Smart Group's balance sheet strength, before getting too excited.

Are Goldcard Smart Group Insiders Aligned With All Shareholders?

It should give investors a sense of security owning shares in a company if insiders also own shares, creating a close alignment their interests. Goldcard Smart Group followers will find comfort in knowing that insiders have a significant amount of capital that aligns their best interests with the wider shareholder group. Notably, they have an enviable stake in the company, worth CN¥1.1b. Coming in at 19% of the business, that holding gives insiders a lot of influence, and plenty of reason to generate value for shareholders. So there is opportunity here to invest in a company whose management have tangible incentives to deliver.

While it's always good to see some strong conviction in the company from insiders through heavy investment, it's also important for shareholders to ask if management compensation policies are reasonable. Our quick analysis into CEO remuneration would seem to indicate they are. Our analysis has discovered that the median total compensation for the CEOs of companies like Goldcard Smart Group with market caps between CN¥2.9b and CN¥12b is about CN¥971k.

Goldcard Smart Group offered total compensation worth CN¥855k to its CEO in the year to December 2023. That is actually below the median for CEO's of similarly sized companies. CEO compensation is hardly the most important aspect of a company to consider, but when it's reasonable, that gives a little more confidence that leadership are looking out for shareholder interests. Generally, arguments can be made that reasonable pay levels attest to good decision-making.

Does Goldcard Smart Group Deserve A Spot On Your Watchlist?

One positive for Goldcard Smart Group is that it is growing EPS. That's nice to see. Earnings growth might be the main attraction for Goldcard Smart Group, but the fun does not stop there. With a meaningful level of insider ownership, and reasonable CEO pay, a reasonable mind might conclude that this is one stock worth watching. Don't forget that there may still be risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Goldcard Smart Group that you should be aware of.

There's always the possibility of doing well buying stocks that are not growing earnings and do not have insiders buying shares. But for those who consider these important metrics, we encourage you to check out companies that do have those features. You can access a tailored list of Chinese companies which have demonstrated growth backed by significant insider holdings.

Please note the insider transactions discussed in this article refer to reportable transactions in the relevant jurisdiction.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.