Stock Analysis

Subdued Growth No Barrier To Shenzhen Rapoo Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002577) With Shares Advancing 26%

SZSE:002577
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Shenzhen Rapoo Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002577) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 26% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Notwithstanding the latest gain, the annual share price return of 4.3% isn't as impressive.

After such a large jump in price, given around half the companies in China's Tech industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 2.6x, you may consider Shenzhen Rapoo Technology as a stock to avoid entirely with its 9.5x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

View our latest analysis for Shenzhen Rapoo Technology

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:002577 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry August 21st 2024

What Does Shenzhen Rapoo Technology's Recent Performance Look Like?

It looks like revenue growth has deserted Shenzhen Rapoo Technology recently, which is not something to boast about. One possibility is that the P/S is high because investors think the benign revenue growth will improve to outperform the broader industry in the near future. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Shenzhen Rapoo Technology will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Shenzhen Rapoo Technology would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that there was hardly any revenue growth to speak of for the company over the past year. The lack of growth did nothing to help the company's aggregate three-year performance, which is an unsavory 15% drop in revenue. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 17% shows it's an unpleasant look.

In light of this, it's alarming that Shenzhen Rapoo Technology's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

What We Can Learn From Shenzhen Rapoo Technology's P/S?

Shares in Shenzhen Rapoo Technology have seen a strong upwards swing lately, which has really helped boost its P/S figure. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Our examination of Shenzhen Rapoo Technology revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, investors will have a hard time accepting the share price as fair value.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Shenzhen Rapoo Technology, and understanding these should be part of your investment process.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.