Stock Analysis

Subdued Growth No Barrier To Guangzhou Haige Communications Group Incorporated Company (SZSE:002465) With Shares Advancing 27%

SZSE:002465
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Those holding Guangzhou Haige Communications Group Incorporated Company (SZSE:002465) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 27% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. Looking further back, the 19% rise over the last twelve months isn't too bad notwithstanding the strength over the last 30 days.

Following the firm bounce in price, Guangzhou Haige Communications Group may be sending very bearish signals at the moment with a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 46.5x, since almost half of all companies in China have P/E ratios under 30x and even P/E's lower than 18x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Recent times have been pleasing for Guangzhou Haige Communications Group as its earnings have risen in spite of the market's earnings going into reverse. The P/E is probably high because investors think the company will continue to navigate the broader market headwinds better than most. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Check out our latest analysis for Guangzhou Haige Communications Group

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:002465 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry March 4th 2024
Keen to find out how analysts think Guangzhou Haige Communications Group's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Is There Enough Growth For Guangzhou Haige Communications Group?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the market for P/E ratios like Guangzhou Haige Communications Group's to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered virtually the same number to the company's bottom line as the year before. Likewise, not much has changed from three years ago as earnings have been stuck during that whole time. So it seems apparent to us that the company has struggled to grow earnings meaningfully over that time.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 28% as estimated by the six analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 41%, which is noticeably more attractive.

In light of this, it's alarming that Guangzhou Haige Communications Group's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as this level of earnings growth is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

The Final Word

The strong share price surge has got Guangzhou Haige Communications Group's P/E rushing to great heights as well. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

Our examination of Guangzhou Haige Communications Group's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook isn't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted. When we see a weak earnings outlook with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. Unless these conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

Having said that, be aware Guangzhou Haige Communications Group is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis, you should know about.

If you're unsure about the strength of Guangzhou Haige Communications Group's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Guangzhou Haige Communications Group is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.