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There's No Escaping Suzhou Victory Precision Manufacture Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002426) Muted Revenues Despite A 31% Share Price Rise
Suzhou Victory Precision Manufacture Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002426) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 31% gain in the last month alone. Taking a wider view, although not as strong as the last month, the full year gain of 14% is also fairly reasonable.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, Suzhou Victory Precision Manufacture's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.7x might still make it look like a buy right now compared to the Electronic industry in China, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 4.4x and even P/S above 9x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.
View our latest analysis for Suzhou Victory Precision Manufacture
What Does Suzhou Victory Precision Manufacture's Recent Performance Look Like?
The recent revenue growth at Suzhou Victory Precision Manufacture would have to be considered satisfactory if not spectacular. It might be that many expect the respectable revenue performance to degrade, which has repressed the P/S. Those who are bullish on Suzhou Victory Precision Manufacture will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Suzhou Victory Precision Manufacture's earnings, revenue and cash flow.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Suzhou Victory Precision Manufacture would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 7.2% gain to the company's revenues. Still, lamentably revenue has fallen 42% in aggregate from three years ago, which is disappointing. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 27% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.
With this information, we are not surprised that Suzhou Victory Precision Manufacture is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. However, we think shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term, which could set up shareholders for future disappointment. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as recent revenue trends are already weighing down the shares.
The Key Takeaway
Suzhou Victory Precision Manufacture's stock price has surged recently, but its but its P/S still remains modest. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
Our examination of Suzhou Victory Precision Manufacture confirms that the company's shrinking revenue over the past medium-term is a key factor in its low price-to-sales ratio, given the industry is projected to grow. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
Many other vital risk factors can be found on the company's balance sheet. You can assess many of the main risks through our free balance sheet analysis for Suzhou Victory Precision Manufacture with six simple checks.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SZSE:002426
Suzhou Victory Precision Manufacture
Suzhou Victory Precision Manufacture Co., Ltd.
Adequate balance sheet and slightly overvalued.