Stock Analysis

Optimistic Investors Push Zhe Jiang Dali Technology Co.,Ltd (SZSE:002214) Shares Up 25% But Growth Is Lacking

SZSE:002214
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Zhe Jiang Dali Technology Co.,Ltd (SZSE:002214) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 25% after a shaky period beforehand. Unfortunately, despite the strong performance over the last month, the full year gain of 7.8% isn't as attractive.

After such a large jump in price, Zhe Jiang Dali TechnologyLtd may be sending very bearish signals at the moment with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 38.8x, since almost half of all companies in the Electronic industry in China have P/S ratios under 4x and even P/S lower than 2x are not unusual. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Check out our latest analysis for Zhe Jiang Dali TechnologyLtd

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:002214 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 7th 2024

What Does Zhe Jiang Dali TechnologyLtd's Recent Performance Look Like?

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Zhe Jiang Dali TechnologyLtd over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Zhe Jiang Dali TechnologyLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?

Zhe Jiang Dali TechnologyLtd's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 28% decrease to the company's top line. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 81% in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 26% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.

With this information, we find it concerning that Zhe Jiang Dali TechnologyLtd is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

The Final Word

The strong share price surge has lead to Zhe Jiang Dali TechnologyLtd's P/S soaring as well. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

Our examination of Zhe Jiang Dali TechnologyLtd revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. With a revenue decline on investors' minds, the likelihood of a souring sentiment is quite high which could send the P/S back in line with what we'd expect. Should recent medium-term revenue trends persist, it would pose a significant risk to existing shareholders' investments and prospective investors will have a hard time accepting the current value of the stock.

You always need to take note of risks, for example - Zhe Jiang Dali TechnologyLtd has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Zhe Jiang Dali TechnologyLtd might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.