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There's Reason For Concern Over ROPEOK Technology Group Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:688619) Massive 29% Price Jump
ROPEOK Technology Group Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688619) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 29% after a shaky period beforehand. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 36% over that time.
Even after such a large jump in price, there still wouldn't be many who think ROPEOK Technology Group's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 3.8x is worth a mention when the median P/S in China's Electronic industry is similar at about 3.6x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.
Check out our latest analysis for ROPEOK Technology Group
How Has ROPEOK Technology Group Performed Recently?
With revenue growth that's exceedingly strong of late, ROPEOK Technology Group has been doing very well. The P/S is probably moderate because investors think this strong revenue growth might not be enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on ROPEOK Technology Group will help you shine a light on its historical performance.How Is ROPEOK Technology Group's Revenue Growth Trending?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, ROPEOK Technology Group would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 62% gain to the company's top line. However, this wasn't enough as the latest three year period has seen the company endure a nasty 11% drop in revenue in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenues over that time.
Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 26% shows it's an unpleasant look.
With this information, we find it concerning that ROPEOK Technology Group is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh on the share price eventually.
The Key Takeaway
Its shares have lifted substantially and now ROPEOK Technology Group's P/S is back within range of the industry median. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
We find it unexpected that ROPEOK Technology Group trades at a P/S ratio that is comparable to the rest of the industry, despite experiencing declining revenues during the medium-term, while the industry as a whole is expected to grow. Even though it matches the industry, we're uncomfortable with the current P/S ratio, as this dismal revenue performance is unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 2 warning signs for ROPEOK Technology Group you should be aware of, and 1 of them is concerning.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SHSE:688619
ROPEOK Technology Group
Designs and implements security system solutions and services in China.
Excellent balance sheet and overvalued.