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What Shengyi Electronics Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:688183) 34% Share Price Gain Is Not Telling You
Shengyi Electronics Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688183) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 34% gain and recovering from prior weakness. The last month tops off a massive increase of 122% in the last year.
After such a large jump in price, Shengyi Electronics' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 5.5x might make it look like a sell right now compared to the wider Electronic industry in China, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios below 4x and even P/S below 2x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.
View our latest analysis for Shengyi Electronics
How Has Shengyi Electronics Performed Recently?
Shengyi Electronics has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue at a solid pace. It might be that many expect the respectable revenue performance to beat most other companies over the coming period, which has increased investors’ willingness to pay up for the stock. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Shengyi Electronics, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.How Is Shengyi Electronics' Revenue Growth Trending?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as high as Shengyi Electronics' is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 10% gain to the company's revenues. Revenue has also lifted 7.2% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been respectable for the company.
Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 26% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker, based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.
In light of this, it's alarming that Shengyi Electronics' P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.
What We Can Learn From Shengyi Electronics' P/S?
Shengyi Electronics' P/S is on the rise since its shares have risen strongly. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
The fact that Shengyi Electronics currently trades on a higher P/S relative to the industry is an oddity, since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. When we see slower than industry revenue growth but an elevated P/S, there's considerable risk of the share price declining, sending the P/S lower. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 4 warning signs for Shengyi Electronics (2 are potentially serious!) that we have uncovered.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SHSE:688183
Shengyi Electronics
Engages in the research and development, production, and sales of various printed circuit boards in China.
Flawless balance sheet with high growth potential.