Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That Raytron TechnologyLtd (SHSE:688002) Is Using Debt Extensively

SHSE:688002
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Raytron Technology Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:688002) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Raytron TechnologyLtd

What Is Raytron TechnologyLtd's Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Raytron TechnologyLtd had debt of CN„1.63b at the end of June 2024, a reduction from CN„1.71b over a year. However, it does have CN„1.14b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CN„490.7m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:688002 Debt to Equity History October 20th 2024

How Healthy Is Raytron TechnologyLtd's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Raytron TechnologyLtd had liabilities of CN„1.91b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN„1.63b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of CN„1.14b and CN„1.73b worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling CN„667.7m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Since publicly traded Raytron TechnologyLtd shares are worth a total of CN„21.5b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Raytron TechnologyLtd has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.91. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 16.4 times the size. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. But the bad news is that Raytron TechnologyLtd has seen its EBIT plunge 17% in the last twelve months. If that rate of decline in earnings continues, the company could find itself in a tight spot. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Raytron TechnologyLtd's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the last three years, Raytron TechnologyLtd saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

Our View

Raytron TechnologyLtd's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and EBIT growth rate definitely weigh on it, in our esteem. But the good news is it seems to be able to cover its interest expense with its EBIT with ease. Looking at all the angles mentioned above, it does seem to us that Raytron TechnologyLtd is a somewhat risky investment as a result of its debt. Not all risk is bad, as it can boost share price returns if it pays off, but this debt risk is worth keeping in mind. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Raytron TechnologyLtd is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.