Stock Analysis

Improved Earnings Required Before Jiangsu Luokai Mechanical &Electrical Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603829) Stock's 32% Jump Looks Justified

SHSE:603829
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Jiangsu Luokai Mechanical &Electrical Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603829) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 32% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. While recent buyers may be laughing, long-term holders might not be as pleased since the recent gain only brings the stock back to where it started a year ago.

Although its price has surged higher, given about half the companies in China have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 31x, you may still consider Jiangsu Luokai Mechanical &Electrical as an attractive investment with its 18.2x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

Jiangsu Luokai Mechanical &Electrical certainly has been doing a great job lately as it's been growing earnings at a really rapid pace. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think this strong earnings growth might actually underperform the broader market in the near future. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

See our latest analysis for Jiangsu Luokai Mechanical &Electrical

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:603829 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry March 7th 2024
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Jiangsu Luokai Mechanical &Electrical, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/E?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the market for P/E ratios like Jiangsu Luokai Mechanical &Electrical's to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 62%. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow EPS by 55% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.

Comparing that to the market, which is predicted to deliver 41% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker based on recent medium-term annualised earnings results.

With this information, we can see why Jiangsu Luokai Mechanical &Electrical is trading at a P/E lower than the market. It seems most investors are expecting to see the recent limited growth rates continue into the future and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

The Bottom Line On Jiangsu Luokai Mechanical &Electrical's P/E

The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift Jiangsu Luokai Mechanical &Electrical's P/E close to the market median. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

As we suspected, our examination of Jiangsu Luokai Mechanical &Electrical revealed its three-year earnings trends are contributing to its low P/E, given they look worse than current market expectations. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Jiangsu Luokai Mechanical &Electrical you should know about.

Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Jiangsu Luokai Mechanical &Electrical. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.