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Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Suzhou Keda Technology Co.,Ltd's (SHSE:603660) 32% Share Price Plunge
The Suzhou Keda Technology Co.,Ltd (SHSE:603660) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 32%. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 22% share price drop.
Following the heavy fall in price, Suzhou Keda TechnologyLtd may look like a strong buying opportunity at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.8x, considering almost half of all companies in the Communications industry in China have P/S ratios greater than 3.8x and even P/S higher than 7x aren't out of the ordinary. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/S.
View our latest analysis for Suzhou Keda TechnologyLtd
How Has Suzhou Keda TechnologyLtd Performed Recently?
As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Suzhou Keda TechnologyLtd over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the disappointing revenue performance to continue or accelerate, which has repressed the P/S. However, if this doesn't eventuate then existing shareholders may be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Suzhou Keda TechnologyLtd will help you shine a light on its historical performance.How Is Suzhou Keda TechnologyLtd's Revenue Growth Trending?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as depressed as Suzhou Keda TechnologyLtd's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry decidedly.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 30% decrease to the company's top line. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 33% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 50% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.
In light of this, it's understandable that Suzhou Keda TechnologyLtd's P/S would sit below the majority of other companies. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/S has reached a floor yet with revenue going in reverse. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth.
The Bottom Line On Suzhou Keda TechnologyLtd's P/S
Shares in Suzhou Keda TechnologyLtd have plummeted and its P/S has followed suit. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
It's no surprise that Suzhou Keda TechnologyLtd maintains its low P/S off the back of its sliding revenue over the medium-term. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises either. Given the current circumstances, it seems unlikely that the share price will experience any significant movement in either direction in the near future if recent medium-term revenue trends persist.
There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 3 warning signs for Suzhou Keda TechnologyLtd that you should be aware of.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SHSE:603660
Suzhou Keda TechnologyLtd
Provides video surveillance and conference products, and video application solutions to public and corporate customers in China.
Slightly overvalued with imperfect balance sheet.