Stock Analysis

Subdued Growth No Barrier To Qtone Education Group (Guangdong) Co.,Ltd (SZSE:300359) With Shares Advancing 42%

SZSE:300359
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Qtone Education Group (Guangdong) Co.,Ltd (SZSE:300359) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 42% gain in the last month alone. Taking a wider view, although not as strong as the last month, the full year gain of 14% is also fairly reasonable.

Since its price has surged higher, when almost half of the companies in China's Software industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 5.8x, you may consider Qtone Education Group (Guangdong)Ltd as a stock probably not worth researching with its 7.9x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Check out our latest analysis for Qtone Education Group (Guangdong)Ltd

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:300359 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 8th 2024

How Qtone Education Group (Guangdong)Ltd Has Been Performing

For example, consider that Qtone Education Group (Guangdong)Ltd's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. One possibility is that the P/S is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Qtone Education Group (Guangdong)Ltd will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Qtone Education Group (Guangdong)Ltd?

Qtone Education Group (Guangdong)Ltd's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver solid growth, and importantly, perform better than the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 16%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 26% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 26% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.

In light of this, it's alarming that Qtone Education Group (Guangdong)Ltd's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

What Does Qtone Education Group (Guangdong)Ltd's P/S Mean For Investors?

The large bounce in Qtone Education Group (Guangdong)Ltd's shares has lifted the company's P/S handsomely. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Our examination of Qtone Education Group (Guangdong)Ltd revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. With a revenue decline on investors' minds, the likelihood of a souring sentiment is quite high which could send the P/S back in line with what we'd expect. Should recent medium-term revenue trends persist, it would pose a significant risk to existing shareholders' investments and prospective investors will have a hard time accepting the current value of the stock.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 1 warning sign for Qtone Education Group (Guangdong)Ltd that we have uncovered.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Qtone Education Group (Guangdong)Ltd might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.