Strait Innovation Internet Co., Ltd's (SZSE:300300) Shares Climb 60% But Its Business Is Yet to Catch Up
Despite an already strong run, Strait Innovation Internet Co., Ltd (SZSE:300300) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 60% in the last thirty days. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 24% in the last twelve months.
Following the firm bounce in price, Strait Innovation Internet may be sending strong sell signals at present with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 17.8x, when you consider almost half of the companies in the IT industry in China have P/S ratios under 5.2x and even P/S lower than 2x aren't out of the ordinary. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.
View our latest analysis for Strait Innovation Internet
What Does Strait Innovation Internet's Recent Performance Look Like?
Strait Innovation Internet has been doing a decent job lately as it's been growing revenue at a reasonable pace. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is high because investors think this good revenue growth will be enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Strait Innovation Internet will help you shine a light on its historical performance.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Strait Innovation Internet's to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 3.9% gain to the company's revenues. However, this wasn't enough as the latest three year period has seen an unpleasant 76% overall drop in revenue. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 20% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.
In light of this, it's alarming that Strait Innovation Internet's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.
What We Can Learn From Strait Innovation Internet's P/S?
Shares in Strait Innovation Internet have seen a strong upwards swing lately, which has really helped boost its P/S figure. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
We've established that Strait Innovation Internet currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. When we see revenue heading backwards and underperforming the industry forecasts, we feel the possibility of the share price declining is very real, bringing the P/S back into the realm of reasonability. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, investors will have a hard time accepting the share price as fair value.
Plus, you should also learn about this 1 warning sign we've spotted with Strait Innovation Internet.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SZSE:300300
Strait Innovation Internet
Engages in the smart city and smart medical care businesses in China.
Mediocre balance sheet minimal.