Stock Analysis

Subdued Growth No Barrier To Shenzhen Sunwin Intelligent Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300044) With Shares Advancing 29%

SZSE:300044
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Shenzhen Sunwin Intelligent Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300044) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 29% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. Taking a wider view, although not as strong as the last month, the full year gain of 13% is also fairly reasonable.

Following the firm bounce in price, you could be forgiven for thinking Shenzhen Sunwin Intelligent is a stock to steer clear of with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 8.4x, considering almost half the companies in China's IT industry have P/S ratios below 3.3x. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

View our latest analysis for Shenzhen Sunwin Intelligent

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:300044 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry July 24th 2024

What Does Shenzhen Sunwin Intelligent's Recent Performance Look Like?

Shenzhen Sunwin Intelligent has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue at a solid pace. Perhaps the market is expecting this decent revenue performance to beat out the industry over the near term, which has kept the P/S propped up. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Shenzhen Sunwin Intelligent will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as Shenzhen Sunwin Intelligent's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 18% last year. Despite this strong recent growth, it's still struggling to catch up as its three-year revenue frustratingly shrank by 68% overall. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenues over that time.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 27% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.

In light of this, it's alarming that Shenzhen Sunwin Intelligent's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

The Final Word

The strong share price surge has lead to Shenzhen Sunwin Intelligent's P/S soaring as well. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

Our examination of Shenzhen Sunwin Intelligent revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. With a revenue decline on investors' minds, the likelihood of a souring sentiment is quite high which could send the P/S back in line with what we'd expect. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 2 warning signs for Shenzhen Sunwin Intelligent you should be aware of, and 1 of them doesn't sit too well with us.

If you're unsure about the strength of Shenzhen Sunwin Intelligent's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.