Investors Aren't Buying Genimous Technology Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:000676) Revenues
Genimous Technology Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:000676) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.3x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the Software industry in China, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 4.3x and even P/S above 7x are quite common. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
See our latest analysis for Genimous Technology
What Does Genimous Technology's Recent Performance Look Like?
Genimous Technology has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue at a solid pace. It might be that many expect the respectable revenue performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/S. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Genimous Technology, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.How Is Genimous Technology's Revenue Growth Trending?
Genimous Technology's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 19% gain to the company's top line. Despite this strong recent growth, it's still struggling to catch up as its three-year revenue frustratingly shrank by 67% overall. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 28% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.
With this information, we are not surprised that Genimous Technology is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. However, we think shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term, which could set up shareholders for future disappointment. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth.
What Does Genimous Technology's P/S Mean For Investors?
We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
As we suspected, our examination of Genimous Technology revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term is contributing to its low P/S, given the industry is set to grow. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
A lot of potential risks can sit within a company's balance sheet. Our free balance sheet analysis for Genimous Technology with six simple checks will allow you to discover any risks that could be an issue.
If you're unsure about the strength of Genimous Technology's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About SZSE:000676
Genimous Technology
Engages in Internet media and digital marketing businesses in China and internationally.
Adequate balance sheet with acceptable track record.