Stock Analysis

Beijing Shenzhou Aerospace Software Technology Co., ltd (SHSE:688562) Stock Rockets 32% As Investors Are Less Pessimistic Than Expected

SHSE:688562
Source: Shutterstock

Beijing Shenzhou Aerospace Software Technology Co., ltd (SHSE:688562) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 32% gain in the last month alone. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 18% in the last twelve months.

Since its price has surged higher, Beijing Shenzhou Aerospace Software Technology's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 7.7x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to other companies in the IT industry in China, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios below 4.9x and even P/S below 2x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.

See our latest analysis for Beijing Shenzhou Aerospace Software Technology

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:688562 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry November 11th 2024

What Does Beijing Shenzhou Aerospace Software Technology's Recent Performance Look Like?

For instance, Beijing Shenzhou Aerospace Software Technology's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. Perhaps the market believes the company can do enough to outperform the rest of the industry in the near future, which is keeping the P/S ratio high. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Beijing Shenzhou Aerospace Software Technology, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Beijing Shenzhou Aerospace Software Technology would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 30% decrease to the company's top line. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 28% overall. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 19% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.

With this information, we find it concerning that Beijing Shenzhou Aerospace Software Technology is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

What Does Beijing Shenzhou Aerospace Software Technology's P/S Mean For Investors?

Beijing Shenzhou Aerospace Software Technology's P/S has grown nicely over the last month thanks to a handy boost in the share price. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

Our examination of Beijing Shenzhou Aerospace Software Technology revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. With a revenue decline on investors' minds, the likelihood of a souring sentiment is quite high which could send the P/S back in line with what we'd expect. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.

A lot of potential risks can sit within a company's balance sheet. You can assess many of the main risks through our free balance sheet analysis for Beijing Shenzhou Aerospace Software Technology with six simple checks.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Beijing Shenzhou Aerospace Software Technology might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

Access Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.