Stock Analysis

Risks Still Elevated At These Prices As Beijing Bohui Science & Technology Co., Ltd (SHSE:688004) Shares Dive 25%

SHSE:688004
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Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Beijing Bohui Science & Technology Co., Ltd (SHSE:688004) share price has dived 25% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 64% share price decline.

Even after such a large drop in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Beijing Bohui Science & Technology's P/S ratio of 4.3x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Software industry in China is also close to 4.7x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

View our latest analysis for Beijing Bohui Science & Technology

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:688004 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry June 6th 2024

How Beijing Bohui Science & Technology Has Been Performing

The revenue growth achieved at Beijing Bohui Science & Technology over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. One possibility is that the P/S is moderate because investors think this respectable revenue growth might not be enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Beijing Bohui Science & Technology, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Beijing Bohui Science & Technology?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Beijing Bohui Science & Technology would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 9.0% gain to the company's revenues. Ultimately though, it couldn't turn around the poor performance of the prior period, with revenue shrinking 38% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 30% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.

With this information, we find it concerning that Beijing Bohui Science & Technology is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh on the share price eventually.

The Bottom Line On Beijing Bohui Science & Technology's P/S

With its share price dropping off a cliff, the P/S for Beijing Bohui Science & Technology looks to be in line with the rest of the Software industry. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

We find it unexpected that Beijing Bohui Science & Technology trades at a P/S ratio that is comparable to the rest of the industry, despite experiencing declining revenues during the medium-term, while the industry as a whole is expected to grow. When we see revenue heading backwards in the context of growing industry forecasts, it'd make sense to expect a possible share price decline on the horizon, sending the moderate P/S lower. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 2 warning signs for Beijing Bohui Science & Technology you should be aware of, and 1 of them can't be ignored.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Beijing Bohui Science & Technology is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.