Stock Analysis

Fujian Apex SoftwareLTD's (SHSE:603383) Earnings Are Weaker Than They Seem

SHSE:603383
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Unsurprisingly, Fujian Apex Software Co.,LTD's (SHSE:603383) stock price was strong on the back of its healthy earnings report. We did some analysis and think that investors are missing some details hidden beneath the profit numbers.

View our latest analysis for Fujian Apex SoftwareLTD

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SHSE:603383 Earnings and Revenue History September 3rd 2024

Examining Cashflow Against Fujian Apex SoftwareLTD's Earnings

One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

For the year to June 2024, Fujian Apex SoftwareLTD had an accrual ratio of 0.23. Therefore, we know that it's free cashflow was significantly lower than its statutory profit, which is hardly a good thing. In fact, it had free cash flow of CN¥175m in the last year, which was a lot less than its statutory profit of CN¥220.2m. Fujian Apex SoftwareLTD shareholders will no doubt be hoping that its free cash flow bounces back next year, since it was down over the last twelve months. One positive for Fujian Apex SoftwareLTD shareholders is that it's accrual ratio was significantly better last year, providing reason to believe that it may return to stronger cash conversion in the future. As a result, some shareholders may be looking for stronger cash conversion in the current year.

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

Our Take On Fujian Apex SoftwareLTD's Profit Performance

Fujian Apex SoftwareLTD didn't convert much of its profit to free cash flow in the last year, which some investors may consider rather suboptimal. Therefore, it seems possible to us that Fujian Apex SoftwareLTD's true underlying earnings power is actually less than its statutory profit. But on the bright side, its earnings per share have grown at an extremely impressive rate over the last three years. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. If you'd like to know more about Fujian Apex SoftwareLTD as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Fujian Apex SoftwareLTD you should be mindful of and 1 of these is a bit unpleasant.

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Fujian Apex SoftwareLTD's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.