Stock Analysis

Some PowerTECH Co., Ltd. (SZSE:301369) Shareholders Look For Exit As Shares Take 36% Pounding

SZSE:301369
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PowerTECH Co., Ltd. (SZSE:301369) shares have had a horrible month, losing 36% after a relatively good period beforehand. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 60% loss during that time.

In spite of the heavy fall in price, PowerTECH may still be sending strong sell signals at present with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 10.8x, when you consider almost half of the companies in the Semiconductor industry in China have P/S ratios under 5.7x and even P/S lower than 2x aren't out of the ordinary. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.

See our latest analysis for PowerTECH

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:301369 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 22nd 2024

How PowerTECH Has Been Performing

For example, consider that PowerTECH's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. One possibility is that the P/S is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on PowerTECH will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like PowerTECH's to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 38% decrease to the company's top line. That put a dampener on the good run it was having over the longer-term as its three-year revenue growth is still a noteworthy 23% in total. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been mostly respectable for the company.

Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 34% shows it's noticeably less attractive.

In light of this, it's alarming that PowerTECH's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

The Bottom Line On PowerTECH's P/S

Even after such a strong price drop, PowerTECH's P/S still exceeds the industry median significantly. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

The fact that PowerTECH currently trades on a higher P/S relative to the industry is an oddity, since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. When we see slower than industry revenue growth but an elevated P/S, there's considerable risk of the share price declining, sending the P/S lower. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

It is also worth noting that we have found 3 warning signs for PowerTECH (2 are a bit concerning!) that you need to take into consideration.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether PowerTECH is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.