Stock Analysis

Market Might Still Lack Some Conviction On Trina Solar Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688599) Even After 34% Share Price Boost

SHSE:688599
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Trina Solar Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688599) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 34% share price jump in the last month. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 27% over that time.

Although its price has surged higher, Trina Solar's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 19.3x might still make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in China, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 34x and even P/E's above 65x are quite common. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Recent times haven't been advantageous for Trina Solar as its earnings have been falling quicker than most other companies. It seems that many are expecting the dismal earnings performance to persist, which has repressed the P/E. You'd much rather the company wasn't bleeding earnings if you still believe in the business. Or at the very least, you'd be hoping the earnings slide doesn't get any worse if your plan is to pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

See our latest analysis for Trina Solar

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:688599 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry October 2nd 2024
Keen to find out how analysts think Trina Solar's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Does Growth Match The Low P/E?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as low as Trina Solar's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market.

If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 58%. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 68% overall rise in EPS, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a very good job of growing earnings over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the eleven analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 25% each year over the next three years. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 19% per year growth forecast for the broader market.

With this information, we find it odd that Trina Solar is trading at a P/E lower than the market. It looks like most investors are not convinced at all that the company can achieve future growth expectations.

The Bottom Line On Trina Solar's P/E

Trina Solar's stock might have been given a solid boost, but its P/E certainly hasn't reached any great heights. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

We've established that Trina Solar currently trades on a much lower than expected P/E since its forecast growth is higher than the wider market. When we see a strong earnings outlook with faster-than-market growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing significant pressure on the P/E ratio. It appears many are indeed anticipating earnings instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.

Plus, you should also learn about these 5 warning signs we've spotted with Trina Solar.

If you're unsure about the strength of Trina Solar's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Trina Solar might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.