Stock Analysis

3Peak Incorporated (SHSE:688536) Stocks Shoot Up 27% But Its P/S Still Looks Reasonable

SHSE:688536
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3Peak Incorporated (SHSE:688536) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 27% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 45% over that time.

Since its price has surged higher, 3Peak may be sending strong sell signals at present with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 13.4x, when you consider almost half of the companies in the Semiconductor industry in China have P/S ratios under 5.4x and even P/S lower than 2x aren't out of the ordinary. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

Check out our latest analysis for 3Peak

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:688536 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 1st 2024

How 3Peak Has Been Performing

3Peak could be doing better as its revenue has been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive revenue growth. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is high because investors think this poor revenue performance will turn the corner. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Keen to find out how analysts think 3Peak's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, 3Peak would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 29% decrease to the company's top line. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 32% overall rise in revenue, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a very good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the six analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 78% over the next year. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 36%, which is noticeably less attractive.

In light of this, it's understandable that 3Peak's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.

What Does 3Peak's P/S Mean For Investors?

Shares in 3Peak have seen a strong upwards swing lately, which has really helped boost its P/S figure. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

We've established that 3Peak maintains its high P/S on the strength of its forecasted revenue growth being higher than the the rest of the Semiconductor industry, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in revenues is quite remote, justifying the elevated P/S ratio. Unless the analysts have really missed the mark, these strong revenue forecasts should keep the share price buoyant.

You need to take note of risks, for example - 3Peak has 2 warning signs (and 1 which is significant) we think you should know about.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on 3Peak, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if 3Peak might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.