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Fujian Raynen Technology Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603933) Stock Rockets 30% As Investors Are Less Pessimistic Than Expected
Despite an already strong run, Fujian Raynen Technology Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603933) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 30% in the last thirty days. Taking a wider view, although not as strong as the last month, the full year gain of 13% is also fairly reasonable.
Following the firm bounce in price, given around half the companies in China have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 36x, you may consider Fujian Raynen Technology as a stock to potentially avoid with its 52.1x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.
Fujian Raynen Technology certainly has been doing a great job lately as it's been growing earnings at a really rapid pace. The P/E is probably high because investors think this strong earnings growth will be enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
View our latest analysis for Fujian Raynen Technology
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Fujian Raynen Technology's earnings, revenue and cash flow.How Is Fujian Raynen Technology's Growth Trending?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the market for P/E ratios like Fujian Raynen Technology's to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 52% last year. However, this wasn't enough as the latest three year period has seen a very unpleasant 23% drop in EPS in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Weighing that medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 39% shows it's an unpleasant look.
With this information, we find it concerning that Fujian Raynen Technology is trading at a P/E higher than the market. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
What We Can Learn From Fujian Raynen Technology's P/E?
Fujian Raynen Technology shares have received a push in the right direction, but its P/E is elevated too. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
We've established that Fujian Raynen Technology currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its recent earnings have been in decline over the medium-term. When we see earnings heading backwards and underperforming the market forecasts, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Fujian Raynen Technology that you should be aware of.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Fujian Raynen Technology, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SHSE:603933
Fujian Raynen Technology
Engages in the IC distribution business in China and internationally.
Excellent balance sheet with proven track record.