Stock Analysis

Improved Revenues Required Before Tongwei Co.,Ltd (SHSE:600438) Shares Find Their Feet

SHSE:600438
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With a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.8x Tongwei Co.,Ltd (SHSE:600438) may be sending very bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all the Semiconductor companies in China have P/S ratios greater than 5.9x and even P/S higher than 10x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/S.

See our latest analysis for TongweiLtd

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:600438 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry May 22nd 2024

How TongweiLtd Has Been Performing

TongweiLtd could be doing better as its revenue has been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive revenue growth. It seems that many are expecting the poor revenue performance to persist, which has repressed the P/S ratio. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on TongweiLtd will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, TongweiLtd would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 17% decrease to the company's top line. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 167% overall rise in revenue, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a very good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 14% per year during the coming three years according to the analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 20% per year growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this in consideration, its clear as to why TongweiLtd's P/S is falling short industry peers. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.

The Bottom Line On TongweiLtd's P/S

Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

As expected, our analysis of TongweiLtd's analyst forecasts confirms that the company's underwhelming revenue outlook is a major contributor to its low P/S. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 3 warning signs for TongweiLtd you should be aware of, and 1 of them is a bit unpleasant.

If you're unsure about the strength of TongweiLtd's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether TongweiLtd is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.