Stock Analysis

Risks To Shareholder Returns Are Elevated At These Prices For Shenzhen Tellus Holding Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000025)

SZSE:000025
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With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 47.6x Shenzhen Tellus Holding Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000025) may be sending very bearish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in China have P/E ratios under 27x and even P/E's lower than 16x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Shenzhen Tellus Holding certainly has been doing a great job lately as it's been growing earnings at a really rapid pace. The P/E is probably high because investors think this strong earnings growth will be enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

See our latest analysis for Shenzhen Tellus Holding

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:000025 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry July 31st 2024
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Shenzhen Tellus Holding's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Does Growth Match The High P/E?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the market for P/E ratios like Shenzhen Tellus Holding's to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 71% last year. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 78% overall rise in EPS, aided by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.

This is in contrast to the rest of the market, which is expected to grow by 36% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

In light of this, it's alarming that Shenzhen Tellus Holding's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.

The Bottom Line On Shenzhen Tellus Holding's P/E

We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

Our examination of Shenzhen Tellus Holding revealed its three-year earnings trends aren't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given they look worse than current market expectations. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as this earnings performance isn't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 1 warning sign for Shenzhen Tellus Holding that you should be aware of.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Shenzhen Tellus Holding, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.