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Revenues Not Telling The Story For Beijing Hualian Department Store Co., Ltd (SZSE:000882) After Shares Rise 43%
Beijing Hualian Department Store Co., Ltd (SZSE:000882) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 43% gain in the last month alone. Looking further back, the 25% rise over the last twelve months isn't too bad notwithstanding the strength over the last 30 days.
Following the firm bounce in price, given around half the companies in China's Real Estate industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 2.5x, you may consider Beijing Hualian Department Store as a stock to avoid entirely with its 4.9x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
View our latest analysis for Beijing Hualian Department Store
How Has Beijing Hualian Department Store Performed Recently?
As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Beijing Hualian Department Store over the last year, which is not ideal at all. Perhaps the market believes the company can do enough to outperform the rest of the industry in the near future, which is keeping the P/S ratio high. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Beijing Hualian Department Store will help you shine a light on its historical performance.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Beijing Hualian Department Store's to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 2.1% decrease to the company's top line. This has soured the latest three-year period, which nevertheless managed to deliver a decent 8.2% overall rise in revenue. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been mostly respectable for the company.
This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 16% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
With this information, we find it concerning that Beijing Hualian Department Store is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.
The Bottom Line On Beijing Hualian Department Store's P/S
The strong share price surge has lead to Beijing Hualian Department Store's P/S soaring as well. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
Our examination of Beijing Hualian Department Store revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't detracting from the P/S as much as we though, given they look worse than current industry expectations. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance isn't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these the share price as being reasonable.
A lot of potential risks can sit within a company's balance sheet. Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis for Beijing Hualian Department Store with six simple checks on some of these key factors.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Beijing Hualian Department Store might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SZSE:000882
Beijing Hualian Department Store
Operates and manages shopping malls in China.
Adequate balance sheet with acceptable track record.