China Vanke Valuation
Is 2 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
3/6Valuation Score 3/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of 2 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: 000002 (CN¥6.87) is trading above our estimate of fair value (CN¥1.43)
Significantly Below Fair Value: 000002 is trading above our estimate of fair value.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 2?
Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.
| What is 2's n/a Ratio? | |
|---|---|
| n/a | 0x |
| n/a | n/a |
| Market Cap | CN¥74.80b |
| Key Statistics | |
|---|---|
| Enterprise Value/Revenue | 1x |
| Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 13.5x |
| PEG Ratio | 1.4x |
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers
How does 2's PE Ratio compare to its peers?
| Company | Forward PE | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peer Average | 13.7x | ||
001979 China Merchants Shekou Industrial Zone Holdings | 11.9x | 13.3% | CN¥74.9b |
600048 Poly Developments and Holdings Group | 8.5x | 8.4% | CN¥102.5b |
600177 Youngor Fashion | 9.9x | n/a | CN¥35.0b |
600848 Shanghai Lingang HoldingsLtd | 24.5x | 18.9% | CN¥25.2b |
000002 China Vanke | 6.7x | 4.7% | CN¥74.8b |
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 000002 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.7x) compared to the peer average (13.7x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry
How does 2's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the CN Real Estate Industry?
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 000002 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.7x) compared to the CN Real Estate industry average (20.7x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is 2's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
| Fair Ratio | |
|---|---|
| Current PE Ratio | 6.7x |
| Fair PE Ratio | 16x |
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 000002 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16x).
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
| Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current | CN¥6.87 | CN¥9.01 +31.2% | 34.7% | CN¥17.31 | CN¥3.60 | n/a | 18 |
| Apr ’25 | CN¥8.98 | CN¥10.16 +13.1% | 27.3% | CN¥17.31 | CN¥6.00 | n/a | 18 |
| Mar ’25 | CN¥9.89 | CN¥12.81 +29.6% | 25.5% | CN¥21.00 | CN¥7.17 | n/a | 18 |
| Feb ’25 | CN¥9.44 | CN¥13.27 +40.6% | 24.6% | CN¥21.00 | CN¥8.10 | n/a | 18 |
| Jan ’25 | CN¥10.46 | CN¥14.10 +34.8% | 20.9% | CN¥21.00 | CN¥8.10 | n/a | 18 |
| Dec ’24 | CN¥11.40 | CN¥14.81 +29.9% | 22.7% | CN¥21.00 | CN¥8.10 | n/a | 19 |
| Nov ’24 | CN¥11.34 | CN¥14.81 +30.6% | 22.7% | CN¥21.00 | CN¥8.10 | n/a | 19 |
| Oct ’24 | CN¥13.08 | CN¥15.59 +19.2% | 21.8% | CN¥21.00 | CN¥8.10 | n/a | 18 |
| Sep ’24 | CN¥14.05 | CN¥16.94 +20.6% | 27.0% | CN¥29.40 | CN¥8.10 | n/a | 19 |
| Aug ’24 | CN¥15.09 | CN¥17.79 +17.9% | 25.9% | CN¥29.40 | CN¥10.20 | n/a | 18 |
| Jul ’24 | CN¥14.02 | CN¥18.15 +29.4% | 24.6% | CN¥29.40 | CN¥10.20 | n/a | 18 |
| Jun ’24 | CN¥14.00 | CN¥18.91 +35.0% | 27.6% | CN¥31.36 | CN¥10.20 | n/a | 19 |
| May ’24 | CN¥15.14 | CN¥18.66 +23.2% | 28.4% | CN¥31.36 | CN¥10.20 | n/a | 18 |
| Apr ’24 | CN¥15.24 | CN¥20.94 +37.4% | 19.6% | CN¥31.36 | CN¥15.10 | CN¥8.98 | 17 |
| Mar ’24 | CN¥17.22 | CN¥21.57 +25.3% | 19.3% | CN¥31.36 | CN¥15.10 | CN¥9.89 | 18 |
| Feb ’24 | CN¥18.19 | CN¥21.55 +18.5% | 19.2% | CN¥31.36 | CN¥15.10 | CN¥9.44 | 18 |
| Jan ’24 | CN¥18.20 | CN¥21.23 +16.6% | 20.0% | CN¥31.36 | CN¥15.10 | CN¥10.46 | 18 |
| Dec ’23 | CN¥19.00 | CN¥20.60 +8.4% | 21.7% | CN¥31.36 | CN¥14.25 | CN¥11.40 | 17 |
| Nov ’23 | CN¥13.86 | CN¥21.18 +52.8% | 22.1% | CN¥31.36 | CN¥13.40 | CN¥11.34 | 18 |
| Oct ’23 | CN¥17.83 | CN¥22.35 +25.3% | 17.2% | CN¥31.36 | CN¥17.60 | CN¥13.08 | 18 |
| Sep ’23 | CN¥16.84 | CN¥22.72 +34.9% | 17.3% | CN¥31.36 | CN¥17.60 | CN¥14.05 | 17 |
| Aug ’23 | CN¥16.87 | CN¥23.43 +38.9% | 14.8% | CN¥31.36 | CN¥18.80 | CN¥15.09 | 17 |
| Jul ’23 | CN¥20.40 | CN¥23.43 +14.9% | 14.8% | CN¥31.36 | CN¥18.80 | CN¥14.02 | 17 |
| Jun ’23 | CN¥17.88 | CN¥23.71 +32.6% | 14.8% | CN¥31.36 | CN¥18.80 | CN¥14.00 | 17 |
| May ’23 | CN¥19.38 | CN¥24.16 +24.7% | 14.3% | CN¥31.36 | CN¥19.80 | CN¥15.14 | 18 |
| Apr ’23 | CN¥20.66 | CN¥23.46 +13.6% | 14.4% | CN¥29.40 | CN¥19.50 | CN¥15.24 | 17 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.