China Vanke Co., Ltd.

SZSE:000002 Stock Report

Market Cap: CN¥76.8b

China Vanke Future Growth

Future criteria checks 3/6

China Vanke's revenue is forecast to decline at 8.5% per annum while its annual earnings are expected to grow at 122.7% per year. EPS is expected to grow by 122.7% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be -1% in 3 years.

Key information

122.7%

Earnings growth rate

122.7%

EPS growth rate

Real Estate earnings growth31.5%
Revenue growth rate-8.5%
Future return on equity-1.0%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated30 Apr 2025

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

The Market Doesn't Like What It Sees From China Vanke Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:000002) Revenues Yet

Feb 27
The Market Doesn't Like What It Sees From China Vanke Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:000002) Revenues Yet
author-image

Diversified Financial Strategies Will Reduce Liabilities And Restore Stability

Feb 09 Strategic diversification and improved financial strategies aim to reduce liabilities, enhance financial stability, and drive revenue growth.

Is China Vanke (SZSE:000002) Using Too Much Debt?

Dec 30
Is China Vanke (SZSE:000002) Using Too Much Debt?

China Vanke Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000002) Surges 44% Yet Its Low P/S Is No Reason For Excitement

Oct 01
China Vanke Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000002) Surges 44% Yet Its Low P/S Is No Reason For Excitement

Is China Vanke (SZSE:000002) Using Too Much Debt?

Sep 30
Is China Vanke (SZSE:000002) Using Too Much Debt?

The Market Doesn't Like What It Sees From China Vanke Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:000002) Earnings Yet

Aug 16
The Market Doesn't Like What It Sees From China Vanke Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:000002) Earnings Yet

China Vanke (SZSE:000002) Has No Shortage Of Debt

May 28
China Vanke (SZSE:000002) Has No Shortage Of Debt

China Vanke Co., Ltd. Just Reported A Surprise Loss: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

May 01
China Vanke Co., Ltd. Just Reported A Surprise Loss: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

SZSE:000002 - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (CNY Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/2027206,7802,51532,78231,8418
12/31/2026241,829-2,44816,33619,19114
12/31/2025263,973-9,71823,34413,40013
3/31/2025319,577-55,3633,2817,429N/A
12/31/2024343,176-49,478-7203,800N/A
9/30/2024395,325-19,402-8,773-1,171N/A
6/30/2024407,625-7,560-11,011-3,129N/A
3/31/2024458,85910,355-20,277-12,510N/A
12/31/2023465,73912,163-4,4223,912N/A
9/30/2023456,47419,217-3,6917,161N/A
6/30/2023497,81520,308-14,525-3,673N/A
3/31/2023509,64522,7059,13123,011N/A
12/31/2022503,83822,689-10,3282,750N/A
9/30/2022518,98522,929-13,782-1,282N/A
6/30/2022492,60323,728-6,9545,620N/A
3/31/2022453,20122,661-35,951-26,025N/A
12/31/2021452,79822,524-5,6734,113N/A
9/30/2021449,10638,34212,66721,027N/A
6/30/2021439,87340,05529,97537,364N/A
3/31/2021433,60141,55865,50073,021N/A
12/31/2020419,11241,51645,82553,188N/A
9/30/2020385,47140,49470,50677,333N/A
6/30/2020374,92339,53854,08159,440N/A
3/31/2020367,29439,00163,48469,446N/A
12/31/2019367,89438,87238,86945,687N/A
9/30/2019345,57238,02948,64261,084N/A
6/30/2019331,02536,49135,45046,726N/A
3/31/2019315,22833,99816,54434,659N/A
12/31/2018297,67933,773N/A33,618N/A
9/30/2018301,81930,945N/A39,885N/A
6/30/2018279,06129,873N/A56,218N/A
3/31/2018255,13328,251N/A64,093N/A
12/31/2017242,89728,052N/A82,323N/A
9/30/2017240,52323,851N/A13,286N/A
6/30/2017235,49222,974N/A35,619N/A
3/31/2017244,45520,885N/A40,768N/A
12/31/2016240,47721,023N/A39,566N/A
9/30/2016233,00819,527N/A63,715N/A
6/30/2016220,07818,624N/A48,652N/A
3/31/2016201,26618,302N/A20,664N/A
12/31/2015195,54918,119N/A16,046N/A
9/30/2015162,84516,142N/A19,837N/A
6/30/2015155,69315,782N/A31,484N/A
3/31/2015145,78514,866N/A31,960N/A
12/31/2014146,38815,745N/A41,725N/A
9/30/2014135,14315,416N/A31,189N/A
6/30/2014134,99015,371N/A15,149N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: 000002 is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered faster growth than the savings rate (2.7%).

Earnings vs Market: 000002 is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered above average market growth.

High Growth Earnings: 000002 is expected to become profitable in the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: 000002's revenue is expected to decline over the next 3 years (-8.5% per year).

High Growth Revenue: 000002's revenue is forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-8.5% per year).

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: 000002 is forecast to be unprofitable in 3 years.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/04/30 21:48
End of Day Share Price 2025/04/30 00:00
Earnings2025/03/31
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

China Vanke Co., Ltd. is covered by 53 analysts. 14 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Hongying ZuoAJ Securities Co., Ltd
Frank ChenBNP Paribas Securities (Asia)
Xiaofeng LuBOCI Research Ltd.