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Even With A 28% Surge, Cautious Investors Are Not Rewarding Huayuan Property Co.,Ltd.'s (SHSE:600743) Performance Completely
Huayuan Property Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:600743) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 28% share price jump in the last month. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 14% in the last twelve months.
Although its price has surged higher, Huayuan PropertyLtd may still be sending buy signals at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.2x, considering almost half of all companies in the Real Estate industry in China have P/S ratios greater than 1.8x and even P/S higher than 4x aren't out of the ordinary. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.
View our latest analysis for Huayuan PropertyLtd
How Huayuan PropertyLtd Has Been Performing
Huayuan PropertyLtd has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue at a solid pace. It might be that many expect the respectable revenue performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/S. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Huayuan PropertyLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Huayuan PropertyLtd?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as Huayuan PropertyLtd's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 23%. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 48% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 11% over the next year, materially lower than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
With this information, we find it odd that Huayuan PropertyLtd is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. It looks like most investors are not convinced the company can maintain its recent growth rates.
The Final Word
The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift Huayuan PropertyLtd's P/S close to the industry median. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
Our examination of Huayuan PropertyLtd revealed its three-year revenue trends aren't boosting its P/S anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given they look better than current industry expectations. Potential investors that are sceptical over continued revenue performance may be preventing the P/S ratio from matching previous strong performance. It appears many are indeed anticipating revenue instability, because the persistence of these recent medium-term conditions would normally provide a boost to the share price.
Having said that, be aware Huayuan PropertyLtd is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis, you should know about.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Huayuan PropertyLtd might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SHSE:600743
Huayuan PropertyLtd
Engages in the development, sale, management, and leasing of real estate properties in China.
Slightly overvalued with imperfect balance sheet.