Stock Analysis

Declining Stock and Decent Financials: Is The Market Wrong About Shanghai Guijiu Co.,Ltd (SHSE:600696)?

SHSE:600696
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Shanghai GuijiuLtd (SHSE:600696) has had a rough three months with its share price down 24%. But if you pay close attention, you might find that its key financial indicators look quite decent, which could mean that the stock could potentially rise in the long-term given how markets usually reward more resilient long-term fundamentals. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Shanghai GuijiuLtd's ROE today.

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

See our latest analysis for Shanghai GuijiuLtd

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Shanghai GuijiuLtd is:

4.2% = CN¥36m ÷ CN¥851m (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. Another way to think of that is that for every CN¥1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn CN¥0.04 in profit.

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

A Side By Side comparison of Shanghai GuijiuLtd's Earnings Growth And 4.2% ROE

It is hard to argue that Shanghai GuijiuLtd's ROE is much good in and of itself. Further, we noted that the company's ROE is similar to the industry average of 3.9%. However, the exceptional 36% net income growth seen by Shanghai GuijiuLtd over the past five years is pretty remarkable. Considering the low ROE, it is quite possible that there might also be some other aspects that are positively influencing the company's earnings growth. For instance, the company has a low payout ratio or is being managed efficiently.

Given that the industry shrunk its earnings at a rate of 10% over the last few years, the net income growth of the company is quite impressive.

past-earnings-growth
SHSE:600696 Past Earnings Growth May 25th 2024

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. Is Shanghai GuijiuLtd fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

Is Shanghai GuijiuLtd Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

Given that Shanghai GuijiuLtd doesn't pay any regular dividends to its shareholders, we infer that the company has been reinvesting all of its profits to grow its business.

Conclusion

In total, it does look like Shanghai GuijiuLtd has some positive aspects to its business. With a high rate of reinvestment, albeit at a low ROE, the company has managed to see a considerable growth in its earnings. While we won't completely dismiss the company, what we would do, is try to ascertain how risky the business is to make a more informed decision around the company. To know the 2 risks we have identified for Shanghai GuijiuLtd visit our risks dashboard for free.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Shanghai GuijiuLtd is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.