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There's No Escaping Nanjing Chixia Development Co.,Ltd.'s (SHSE:600533) Muted Revenues Despite A 29% Share Price Rise
Nanjing Chixia Development Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:600533) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 29% after a shaky period beforehand. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 29% in the last twelve months.
Even after such a large jump in price, Nanjing Chixia DevelopmentLtd may still be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.9x, since almost half of all companies in the Real Estate industry in China have P/S ratios greater than 1.7x and even P/S higher than 4x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.
See our latest analysis for Nanjing Chixia DevelopmentLtd
What Does Nanjing Chixia DevelopmentLtd's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Nanjing Chixia DevelopmentLtd over the last year, which is not ideal at all. One possibility is that the P/S is low because investors think the company won't do enough to avoid underperforming the broader industry in the near future. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Nanjing Chixia DevelopmentLtd will help you shine a light on its historical performance.How Is Nanjing Chixia DevelopmentLtd's Revenue Growth Trending?
Nanjing Chixia DevelopmentLtd's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 66% decrease to the company's top line. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 45% in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 11% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.
With this information, we are not surprised that Nanjing Chixia DevelopmentLtd is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/S has reached a floor yet with revenue going in reverse. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth.
The Key Takeaway
The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift Nanjing Chixia DevelopmentLtd's P/S close to the industry median. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
Our examination of Nanjing Chixia DevelopmentLtd confirms that the company's shrinking revenue over the past medium-term is a key factor in its low price-to-sales ratio, given the industry is projected to grow. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises either. Given the current circumstances, it seems unlikely that the share price will experience any significant movement in either direction in the near future if recent medium-term revenue trends persist.
There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 3 warning signs for Nanjing Chixia DevelopmentLtd that you should be aware of.
If you're unsure about the strength of Nanjing Chixia DevelopmentLtd's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Nanjing Chixia DevelopmentLtd might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SHSE:600533
Nanjing Chixia DevelopmentLtd
Engages in the real estate business in China.
Low and slightly overvalued.