Stock Analysis

Nanjing Chixia Development Co.,Ltd.'s (SHSE:600533) Share Price Boosted 29% But Its Business Prospects Need A Lift Too

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SHSE:600533

Despite an already strong run, Nanjing Chixia Development Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:600533) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 29% in the last thirty days. Unfortunately, despite the strong performance over the last month, the full year gain of 7.4% isn't as attractive.

Even after such a large jump in price, Nanjing Chixia DevelopmentLtd may still be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.6x, since almost half of all companies in the Real Estate industry in China have P/S ratios greater than 2.7x and even P/S higher than 6x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.

Check out our latest analysis for Nanjing Chixia DevelopmentLtd

SHSE:600533 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 12th 2024

How Nanjing Chixia DevelopmentLtd Has Been Performing

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Nanjing Chixia DevelopmentLtd over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the disappointing revenue performance to continue or accelerate, which has repressed the P/S. Those who are bullish on Nanjing Chixia DevelopmentLtd will be hoping that this isn't the case so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Nanjing Chixia DevelopmentLtd, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Nanjing Chixia DevelopmentLtd?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as Nanjing Chixia DevelopmentLtd's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 69%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 38% in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 12% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.

With this in mind, we understand why Nanjing Chixia DevelopmentLtd's P/S is lower than most of its industry peers. However, we think shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term, which could set up shareholders for future disappointment. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as recent revenue trends are already weighing down the shares.

What We Can Learn From Nanjing Chixia DevelopmentLtd's P/S?

The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift Nanjing Chixia DevelopmentLtd's P/S close to the industry median. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

It's no surprise that Nanjing Chixia DevelopmentLtd maintains its low P/S off the back of its sliding revenue over the medium-term. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. Given the current circumstances, it seems unlikely that the share price will experience any significant movement in either direction in the near future if recent medium-term revenue trends persist.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Nanjing Chixia DevelopmentLtd that you should be aware of.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Nanjing Chixia DevelopmentLtd might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.