Stock Analysis

More Unpleasant Surprises Could Be In Store For Beijing Dalong Weiye Real Estate Development Co.,Ltd's (SHSE:600159) Shares After Tumbling 26%

SHSE:600159
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Beijing Dalong Weiye Real Estate Development Co.,Ltd (SHSE:600159) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month, dropping 26% and undoing the prior period's positive performance. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 16% share price drop.

In spite of the heavy fall in price, when almost half of the companies in China's Real Estate industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.7x, you may still consider Beijing Dalong Weiye Real Estate DevelopmentLtd as a stock probably not worth researching with its 2.7x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

View our latest analysis for Beijing Dalong Weiye Real Estate DevelopmentLtd

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:600159 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry June 17th 2024

How Beijing Dalong Weiye Real Estate DevelopmentLtd Has Been Performing

For example, consider that Beijing Dalong Weiye Real Estate DevelopmentLtd's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. One possibility is that the P/S is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Beijing Dalong Weiye Real Estate DevelopmentLtd, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as high as Beijing Dalong Weiye Real Estate DevelopmentLtd's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 12%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 40% in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 4.9% shows it's an unpleasant look.

With this in mind, we find it worrying that Beijing Dalong Weiye Real Estate DevelopmentLtd's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

The Final Word

Despite the recent share price weakness, Beijing Dalong Weiye Real Estate DevelopmentLtd's P/S remains higher than most other companies in the industry. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

We've established that Beijing Dalong Weiye Real Estate DevelopmentLtd currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. Should recent medium-term revenue trends persist, it would pose a significant risk to existing shareholders' investments and prospective investors will have a hard time accepting the current value of the stock.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 2 warning signs for Beijing Dalong Weiye Real Estate DevelopmentLtd (1 doesn't sit too well with us!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Beijing Dalong Weiye Real Estate DevelopmentLtd might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.