Stock Analysis

Investor Optimism Abounds Guangdong Lifestrong Pharmacy Co., Ltd. (SZSE:301111) But Growth Is Lacking

SZSE:301111
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Guangdong Lifestrong Pharmacy Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:301111) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 9.1x may look like a poor investment opportunity when you consider close to half the companies in the Pharmaceuticals industry in China have P/S ratios below 3.5x. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Check out our latest analysis for Guangdong Lifestrong Pharmacy

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:301111 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 2nd 2024

How Has Guangdong Lifestrong Pharmacy Performed Recently?

It looks like revenue growth has deserted Guangdong Lifestrong Pharmacy recently, which is not something to boast about. It might be that many are expecting an improvement to the uninspiring revenue performance over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Guangdong Lifestrong Pharmacy will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

How Is Guangdong Lifestrong Pharmacy's Revenue Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as Guangdong Lifestrong Pharmacy's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered virtually the same number to the company's top line as the year before. This isn't what shareholders were looking for as it means they've been left with a 15% decline in revenue over the last three years in total. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 142% shows it's an unpleasant look.

With this information, we find it concerning that Guangdong Lifestrong Pharmacy is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

The Bottom Line On Guangdong Lifestrong Pharmacy's P/S

Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

Our examination of Guangdong Lifestrong Pharmacy revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. When we see revenue heading backwards and underperforming the industry forecasts, we feel the possibility of the share price declining is very real, bringing the P/S back into the realm of reasonability. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Guangdong Lifestrong Pharmacy (of which 1 is potentially serious!) you should know about.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.