Stock Analysis

Zhejiang Tianyu Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:300702) Stock is Soaring But Financials Seem Inconsistent: Will The Uptrend Continue?

SZSE:300702
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Zhejiang Tianyu Pharmaceutical's (SZSE:300702) stock is up by a considerable 22% over the past three months. However, we wonder if the company's inconsistent financials would have any adverse impact on the current share price momentum. In this article, we decided to focus on Zhejiang Tianyu Pharmaceutical's ROE.

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

See our latest analysis for Zhejiang Tianyu Pharmaceutical

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

The formula for return on equity is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Zhejiang Tianyu Pharmaceutical is:

1.2% = CN¥44m ÷ CN¥3.5b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).

The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. One way to conceptualize this is that for each CN¥1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made CN¥0.01 in profit.

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don’t share these attributes.

Zhejiang Tianyu Pharmaceutical's Earnings Growth And 1.2% ROE

It is quite clear that Zhejiang Tianyu Pharmaceutical's ROE is rather low. Even compared to the average industry ROE of 7.7%, the company's ROE is quite dismal. Given the circumstances, the significant decline in net income by 59% seen by Zhejiang Tianyu Pharmaceutical over the last five years is not surprising. However, there could also be other factors causing the earnings to decline. For instance, the company has a very high payout ratio, or is faced with competitive pressures.

However, when we compared Zhejiang Tianyu Pharmaceutical's growth with the industry we found that while the company's earnings have been shrinking, the industry has seen an earnings growth of 9.1% in the same period. This is quite worrisome.

past-earnings-growth
SZSE:300702 Past Earnings Growth December 24th 2024

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. It’s important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Zhejiang Tianyu Pharmaceutical is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

Is Zhejiang Tianyu Pharmaceutical Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

In spite of a normal three-year median payout ratio of 32% (that is, a retention ratio of 68%), the fact that Zhejiang Tianyu Pharmaceutical's earnings have shrunk is quite puzzling. So there could be some other explanations in that regard. For instance, the company's business may be deteriorating.

Moreover, Zhejiang Tianyu Pharmaceutical has been paying dividends for seven years, which is a considerable amount of time, suggesting that management must have perceived that the shareholders prefer consistent dividends even though earnings have been shrinking.

Conclusion

In total, we're a bit ambivalent about Zhejiang Tianyu Pharmaceutical's performance. Even though it appears to be retaining most of its profits, given the low ROE, investors may not be benefitting from all that reinvestment after all. The low earnings growth suggests our theory correct. With that said, we studied the latest analyst forecasts and found that while the company has shrunk its earnings in the past, analysts expect its earnings to grow in the future. To know more about the company's future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.