Shareholders in Shandong Jincheng Pharmaceutical Group (SZSE:300233) have lost 50%, as stock drops 8.2% this past week
While not a mind-blowing move, it is good to see that the Shandong Jincheng Pharmaceutical Group Co., Ltd (SZSE:300233) share price has gained 17% in the last three months. But over the last three years we've seen a quite serious decline. Tragically, the share price declined 52% in that time. Some might say the recent bounce is to be expected after such a bad drop. While many would remain nervous, there could be further gains if the business can put its best foot forward.
Since Shandong Jincheng Pharmaceutical Group has shed CN¥425m from its value in the past 7 days, let's see if the longer term decline has been driven by the business' economics.
Check out our latest analysis for Shandong Jincheng Pharmaceutical Group
While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.
During five years of share price growth, Shandong Jincheng Pharmaceutical Group moved from a loss to profitability. We would usually expect to see the share price rise as a result. So it's worth looking at other metrics to try to understand the share price move.
With a rather small yield of just 1.6% we doubt that the stock's share price is based on its dividend. With revenue flat over three years, it seems unlikely that the share price is reflecting the top line. We're not entirely sure why the share price is dropped, but it does seem likely investors have become less optimistic about the business.
The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).
This free interactive report on Shandong Jincheng Pharmaceutical Group's balance sheet strength is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.
A Different Perspective
While the broader market gained around 14% in the last year, Shandong Jincheng Pharmaceutical Group shareholders lost 23% (even including dividends). Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 6% per year over five years. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Shandong Jincheng Pharmaceutical Group better, we need to consider many other factors. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Shandong Jincheng Pharmaceutical Group that you should be aware of.
Of course Shandong Jincheng Pharmaceutical Group may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One Place
We've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.
• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency
• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile
• Track the Fair Value of your stocks
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SZSE:300233
Shandong Jincheng Pharmaceutical Group
Researches and develops, produces, markets, and sells Cephalosporin intermediates in China and internationally.
Solid track record with excellent balance sheet and pays a dividend.