Stock Analysis
Risks Still Elevated At These Prices As Xiangxue Pharmaceutical Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:300147) Shares Dive 26%
The Xiangxue Pharmaceutical Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:300147) share price has softened a substantial 26% over the previous 30 days, handing back much of the gains the stock has made lately. Looking at the bigger picture, even after this poor month the stock is up 96% in the last year.
Even after such a large drop in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Xiangxue PharmaceuticalLtd's P/S ratio of 3.1x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Pharmaceuticals industry in China is also close to 3.2x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
View our latest analysis for Xiangxue PharmaceuticalLtd
How Has Xiangxue PharmaceuticalLtd Performed Recently?
For instance, Xiangxue PharmaceuticalLtd's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. It might be that many expect the company to put the disappointing revenue performance behind them over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from falling. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Xiangxue PharmaceuticalLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like Xiangxue PharmaceuticalLtd's to be considered reasonable.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 3.0%. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 25% overall. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 178% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.
In light of this, it's somewhat alarming that Xiangxue PharmaceuticalLtd's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh on the share price eventually.
What We Can Learn From Xiangxue PharmaceuticalLtd's P/S?
With its share price dropping off a cliff, the P/S for Xiangxue PharmaceuticalLtd looks to be in line with the rest of the Pharmaceuticals industry. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
The fact that Xiangxue PharmaceuticalLtd currently trades at a P/S on par with the rest of the industry is surprising to us since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term, all while the industry is set to grow. Even though it matches the industry, we're uncomfortable with the current P/S ratio, as this dismal revenue performance is unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.
Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Xiangxue PharmaceuticalLtd that you should be aware of.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SZSE:300147
Xiangxue PharmaceuticalLtd
Xiangxue Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development, procurement, manufacture, delivery, and distribution of pharmaceutical products in China.