Stock Analysis

Jinhe Biotechnology CO., LTD. (SZSE:002688) Stock Rockets 26% As Investors Are Less Pessimistic Than Expected

SZSE:002688
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Jinhe Biotechnology CO., LTD. (SZSE:002688) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 26% gain in the last month alone. The bad news is that even after the stocks recovery in the last 30 days, shareholders are still underwater by about 6.1% over the last year.

Following the firm bounce in price, Jinhe Biotechnology's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 38.7x might make it look like a sell right now compared to the market in China, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 32x and even P/E's below 20x are quite common. However, the P/E might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

The earnings growth achieved at Jinhe Biotechnology over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think this respectable earnings growth will be enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Check out our latest analysis for Jinhe Biotechnology

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:002688 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry May 13th 2024
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Jinhe Biotechnology will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Is There Enough Growth For Jinhe Biotechnology?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the market for P/E ratios like Jinhe Biotechnology's to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 17%. However, this wasn't enough as the latest three year period has seen a very unpleasant 39% drop in EPS in aggregate. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Comparing that to the market, which is predicted to deliver 38% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term earnings results is a sobering picture.

In light of this, it's alarming that Jinhe Biotechnology's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

The Final Word

Jinhe Biotechnology's P/E is getting right up there since its shares have risen strongly. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

Our examination of Jinhe Biotechnology revealed its shrinking earnings over the medium-term aren't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given the market is set to grow. When we see earnings heading backwards and underperforming the market forecasts, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 3 warning signs for Jinhe Biotechnology (2 are a bit unpleasant!) that we have uncovered.

If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Jinhe Biotechnology is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.