Stock Analysis

Sichuan Kelun Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002422) Surges 25% Yet Its Low P/E Is No Reason For Excitement

SZSE:002422
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Sichuan Kelun Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002422) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 25% gain and recovering from prior weakness. While recent buyers may be laughing, long-term holders might not be as pleased since the recent gain only brings the stock back to where it started a year ago.

Although its price has surged higher, Sichuan Kelun Pharmaceutical may still be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 19.1x, since almost half of all companies in China have P/E ratios greater than 31x and even P/E's higher than 56x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

Sichuan Kelun Pharmaceutical certainly has been doing a good job lately as its earnings growth has been positive while most other companies have been seeing their earnings go backwards. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, possibly more than the market, which has repressed the P/E. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

View our latest analysis for Sichuan Kelun Pharmaceutical

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:002422 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry March 4th 2024
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Is There Any Growth For Sichuan Kelun Pharmaceutical?

Sichuan Kelun Pharmaceutical's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 34% gain to the company's bottom line. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow EPS by 307% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the nine analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 9.7% over the next year. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 42%, which is noticeably more attractive.

With this information, we can see why Sichuan Kelun Pharmaceutical is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.

The Bottom Line On Sichuan Kelun Pharmaceutical's P/E

Sichuan Kelun Pharmaceutical's stock might have been given a solid boost, but its P/E certainly hasn't reached any great heights. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

We've established that Sichuan Kelun Pharmaceutical maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider market, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

Having said that, be aware Sichuan Kelun Pharmaceutical is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis, you should know about.

If you're unsure about the strength of Sichuan Kelun Pharmaceutical's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Sichuan Kelun Pharmaceutical is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.