There's No Escaping Guizhou Xinbang Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002390) Muted Earnings
When close to half the companies in China have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 28x, you may consider Guizhou Xinbang Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002390) as an attractive investment with its 24.3x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/E.
For instance, Guizhou Xinbang Pharmaceutical's receding earnings in recent times would have to be some food for thought. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think the company won't do enough to avoid underperforming the broader market in the near future. However, if this doesn't eventuate then existing shareholders may be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
Check out our latest analysis for Guizhou Xinbang Pharmaceutical
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Guizhou Xinbang Pharmaceutical, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/E?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Guizhou Xinbang Pharmaceutical would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the market.
Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 2.6%. As a result, earnings from three years ago have also fallen 30% overall. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Comparing that to the market, which is predicted to deliver 36% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term earnings results is a sobering picture.
In light of this, it's understandable that Guizhou Xinbang Pharmaceutical's P/E would sit below the majority of other companies. However, we think shrinking earnings are unlikely to lead to a stable P/E over the longer term, which could set up shareholders for future disappointment. There's potential for the P/E to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its profitability.
What We Can Learn From Guizhou Xinbang Pharmaceutical's P/E?
Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
We've established that Guizhou Xinbang Pharmaceutical maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its sliding earnings over the medium-term, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it's hard to see the share price moving strongly in either direction in the near future under these circumstances.
And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Guizhou Xinbang Pharmaceutical you should know about.
Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Guizhou Xinbang Pharmaceutical. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SZSE:002390
Guizhou Xinbang Pharmaceutical
Researches, develops, manufactures, and sells Chinese herbal medicines and other pharmaceutical products in China and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet average dividend payer.