The five-year decline in earnings might be taking its toll on Shenzhen Salubris Pharmaceuticals (SZSE:002294) shareholders as stock falls 3.1% over the past week
While Shenzhen Salubris Pharmaceuticals Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002294) shareholders are probably generally happy, the stock hasn't had particularly good run recently, with the share price falling 14% in the last quarter. Looking further back, the stock has generated good profits over five years. After all, the share price is up a market-beating 52% in that time.
Although Shenzhen Salubris Pharmaceuticals has shed CN¥1.1b from its market cap this week, let's take a look at its longer term fundamental trends and see if they've driven returns.
See our latest analysis for Shenzhen Salubris Pharmaceuticals
In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.
Shenzhen Salubris Pharmaceuticals' earnings per share are down 11% per year, despite strong share price performance over five years.
This means it's unlikely the market is judging the company based on earnings growth. Since the change in EPS doesn't seem to correlate with the change in share price, it's worth taking a look at other metrics.
The modest 1.7% dividend yield is unlikely to be propping up the share price. It is not great to see that revenue has dropped by 1.2% per year over five years. So it seems one might have to take closer look at earnings and revenue trends to see how they might influence the share price.
You can see below how earnings and revenue have changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).
We know that Shenzhen Salubris Pharmaceuticals has improved its bottom line over the last three years, but what does the future have in store? This free interactive report on Shenzhen Salubris Pharmaceuticals' balance sheet strength is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.
What About Dividends?
When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. As it happens, Shenzhen Salubris Pharmaceuticals' TSR for the last 5 years was 64%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!
A Different Perspective
Investors in Shenzhen Salubris Pharmaceuticals had a tough year, with a total loss of 1.9% (including dividends), against a market gain of about 7.7%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. On the bright side, long term shareholders have made money, with a gain of 10% per year over half a decade. If the fundamental data continues to indicate long term sustainable growth, the current sell-off could be an opportunity worth considering. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Shenzhen Salubris Pharmaceuticals better, we need to consider many other factors. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Shenzhen Salubris Pharmaceuticals you should be aware of, and 1 of them is significant.
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SZSE:002294
Shenzhen Salubris Pharmaceuticals
Shenzhen Salubris Pharmaceuticals Co., Ltd.
Flawless balance sheet and good value.