Stock Analysis

Daan Gene Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002030) Stock Rockets 31% As Investors Are Less Pessimistic Than Expected

SZSE:002030
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Those holding Daan Gene Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002030) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 31% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 34% over that time.

Following the firm bounce in price, given close to half the companies operating in China's Biotechs industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 6.3x, you may consider Daan Gene as a stock to potentially avoid with its 8.8x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/S.

View our latest analysis for Daan Gene

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:002030 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry August 20th 2024

How Daan Gene Has Been Performing

For instance, Daan Gene's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Daan Gene will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

How Is Daan Gene's Revenue Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as high as Daan Gene's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 88%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 85% in aggregate. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 223% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.

In light of this, it's alarming that Daan Gene's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

What Does Daan Gene's P/S Mean For Investors?

Daan Gene shares have taken a big step in a northerly direction, but its P/S is elevated as a result. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

Our examination of Daan Gene revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. When we see revenue heading backwards and underperforming the industry forecasts, we feel the possibility of the share price declining is very real, bringing the P/S back into the realm of reasonability. Should recent medium-term revenue trends persist, it would pose a significant risk to existing shareholders' investments and prospective investors will have a hard time accepting the current value of the stock.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Daan Gene that you should be aware of.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.