Stock Analysis

Daan Gene Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002030) Stock Catapults 29% Though Its Price And Business Still Lag The Industry

SZSE:002030
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Daan Gene Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002030) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 29% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 45% in the last twelve months.

Even after such a large jump in price, Daan Gene may still be sending very bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 3.5x, since almost half of all companies in the Biotechs industry in China have P/S ratios greater than 7.5x and even P/S higher than 13x are not unusual. However, the P/S might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

View our latest analysis for Daan Gene

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:002030 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 6th 2024

What Does Daan Gene's Recent Performance Look Like?

For example, consider that Daan Gene's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. One possibility is that the P/S is low because investors think the company won't do enough to avoid underperforming the broader industry in the near future. Those who are bullish on Daan Gene will be hoping that this isn't the case so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Daan Gene will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Daan Gene?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Daan Gene would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 69% decrease to the company's top line. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 8.7% in total over the last three years. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 163% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.

With this information, we are not surprised that Daan Gene is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. However, we think shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term, which could set up shareholders for future disappointment. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth.

The Key Takeaway

Even after such a strong price move, Daan Gene's P/S still trails the rest of the industry. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

It's no surprise that Daan Gene maintains its low P/S off the back of its sliding revenue over the medium-term. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 3 warning signs for Daan Gene (1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Daan Gene, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Daan Gene is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.